In Search For Profits

Sunday, March 28, 2004


Traders and tax software

If you are filing your taxes using one of those softwares (Turbo Tax, Tax Cut, etc) and you think you need to type every single trade into the form, there is a better way.

If you have Quicken or Microsoft Money, it is likely that you can download all your transactions from your broker and save them in an TXF file.

The TXF file can then be read by your tax software and all your transactions will show up. You still have to enter the information from the 1099 forms you have received for dividends, interest and other income.



Tuesday, March 23, 2004


Brazilian emerging market looking technically ugly



According to GrafistaBsb, these are bear market signs: a drop that breaks the bullish trendline followed by a failure to resume the climb to above the 61.8% fibonacci mark and another drop to below the first drop. To me, that first double top was enough to convince to take profits and bravely run away like Sir Robin.

Now, the Bovespa index has to maintain the bottom at 20800, otherwise it can drop to 18000 on its main trendline. Things still look good long term though.






Wednesday, March 17, 2004


HZO - I've been sleeping at the wheel!

Mr. Market picked up this gem 7 days ago ... and I was too busy to check. Check it out!











Dow Theory

This one came up from GlobalStation.com.br.

Among other things, the Dow Theory says that the movements on one of the averages (industrial) must be confirmed by the movements on the other average (transportation). In January/04, the transportation average started to diverge negatively in comparison to the industrial average.

Later that was confirmed as an alert signal and both the averages fell to their support: the transportation average touched the 200 MA and the industrial average stopped falling at its 38% Fibonacci retracement considering the bullish move from August/03 to February/04.

If these support levels are maintained, rallies can happen on the next few weeks.

This one came up from the folks at GlobalStation.com.br.





^DJI 10,300.30 on 3/17/2004
^DJT 2,847.65 on 3/17/2004



Tuesday, March 16, 2004


Some stocks screened yesterday

Just based on chart action. Do your own DD. This is a jittery market.

Amedisys Inc (AMED, $23.629 on 3/16/2004) - home healthcare nursing services.

EDAP TMS SA (EDAP, $2.03 on 3/16/2004) - minimally invasive medical devices to destroy localized tumors.

Gristede's Foods Inc (GRI, $1.00 on 3/16/2004) - NorthEast supermarkets and pharmacies.

Magal Security Systems (MAGS, $11.65 on 3/16/2004) - perimeter security systems and motion-detection systems.

Metris Companies Inc (MXT, $6.15 on 3/16/2004) - financial products and consumer credit.

OMNI Energy Services Corp (OMNI, $7.721 on 3/16/2004) - oilfield service company (mostly LA and TX).

Perini Corp (PCR, $15.95 on 3/16/2004) - general contracting, construction management and design-build services.

Smithway Motor Xpress Corp (SMXC, $4.22 on 3/16/2004) - nationwide truckload carrier.

Cash Technologies Corp (TQ, $1.35 on 3/16/2004) - self-service coin counting machines and transaction processing systems.

Viisage Technology Inc (VISG, $6.68 on 3/16/2004) - advanced technology solutions for identity verification including biometrics.

AMED $23.629 on 3/16/2004
EDAP $2.03 on 3/16/2004
GRI $1.00 on 3/16/2004

MAGS $11.65 on 3/16/2004
MXT $6.15 on 3/16/2004
OMNI $7.721 on 3/16/2004
PCR $15.95 on 3/16/2004
SMXC $4.22 on 3/16/2004
TQ $1.35 on 3/16/2004
VISG $6.68 on 3/16/2004



Monday, March 15, 2004


ADRs from Spain


For a speculative bargain hunt... if there is any bargains - maybe too soon or too late.

Yahoo link

Company NameTickerSector
BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA SABBVBANKS
BANCO ESPANOL DE CREDITO SABNSTY.PKBANKS
BANCO SANTANDER CENTRAL HISPANO SASTDBANKS
BANKINTER SABKNTY.PKBANKS
CORP MAPFRE SACRFEY.PKINSURANCE
ENDESA SAELEELECTRIC UTILITY
NH HOTELES SANHHEY.PKHOTELS & MOTELS
REPSOL YPF SAREPOIL & GAS
TELEFONICA MOVILES SATEMTELECOMMUNICATIONS
TELEFONICA SATEFTELECOMMUNICATIONS
TELEPIZZATLPZY.PKRETAIL SERVICES
TERRA NETWORKS SATRLYINTERNET PRODUCTS & SERVICES


BBV $13.16 on 3/15/2004
STD $10.77 on 3/15/2004
ELE $18.93 on 3/15/2004
REP $20.20 on 3/15/2004
TEM $10.95 on 3/15/2004
TEF $46.48 on 3/15/2004
TRLY $6.119 on 3/15/2004



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